{"id":650,"date":"2014-05-30T14:34:01","date_gmt":"2014-05-30T11:34:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/?p=650"},"modified":"2015-03-31T10:16:45","modified_gmt":"2015-03-31T07:16:45","slug":"dengeler-degisiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/dengeler-degisiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"DENGELER DE\u011e\u0130\u015e\u0130YOR!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Halil \u0130. Y\u0131lmaz<\/strong><\/p>\n

Son g\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ile ilgili \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmeleri iyi okuyup ufka bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, T\u00fcrkiye ad\u0131na gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin \u00e7ok daha umutlu \u015feyler s\u00f6yleyebiliyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u0130lk geli\u015fmeden ba\u015flayal\u0131m. Avrupa’daki bor\u00e7 krizi art\u0131k b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyay\u0131 tehdit eder hale geldi. IMF\u2019nin kap\u0131s\u0131na yard\u0131m i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde yeni \u00fclkelerin dayanmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu sebeple, krizdeki Avrupa’ya yard\u0131m i\u00e7in IMF b\u00fcnyesinde olu\u015fturulan havuza T\u00fcrkiye 5 milyar dolar aktarmay\u0131 taahh\u00fct etti.<\/p>\n

Bu geli\u015fme sembolik manada \u00e7ok \u015feyler i\u00e7eriyor. Tanzimat’la ba\u015flayan el kap\u0131lar\u0131nda el a\u00e7\u0131p dilenen, emir alan T\u00fcrkiye gitmi\u015f, yerine d\u00fcnyay\u0131 krizden kurtaran, derman olan, s\u00f6z\u00fc dinlenen bir \u00fclke gelmi\u015f. Bu \u00f6nemli bir stat\u00fc, bir prestij. T\u00fcrkiye ad\u0131na b\u00f6yle \u015feyler r\u00fcyada bile zor g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu \u00fclke daha 10 y\u0131l \u00f6nce ‘bu ay IMF’den 500 milyon dolar (evet sadece bu kadar!) gelmezse ay sonunda memur maa\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6deyemeyecek’ diye gazetelerin man\u015fet att\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u00fclke idi.<\/p>\n

Bu bak\u0131mdan T\u00fcrkiye’nin IMF’den s\u00fcrekli para ve “re\u00e7ete” alan \u00fclke konumundan \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve “veren el” durumuna y\u00fckselmesi tarihi bir geli\u015fmedir. E\u011fer d\u00fcnya siyasetinde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131rmak istiyorsak, bundan sonraki s\u00fcre\u00e7te daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 da ortaya koyabilecek hale gelmemiz gerekiyor.
\nGelelim ikinci geli\u015fmeye\u2026 Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Moody’s, T\u00fcrkiye’nin kredi notunu bir kademe y\u00fckselterek Ba2’den Ba1’e \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Moody’s not art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n, ana gerek\u00e7esi olarak “kamu finansmandaki ciddi iyile\u015fmeyi” g\u00f6sterdi. Piyasalar\u0131n pek beklemedi\u011fi bu not art\u0131\u015f\u0131, d\u00f6vizi ve faizi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekerken \u0130MKB’de de y\u00fckseli\u015f getirdi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ad\u0131na sevindirici \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc geli\u015fme ise, ihracat rakamlar\u0131d\u0131r. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 5 ay\u0131nda ise ihracat y\u00fczde 10,31 art\u0131\u015fla 59 milyar 833 milyon dolara y\u00fckseldi. Son 12 ayl\u0131k ihracat ise 140 milyar dolar\u0131 ge\u00e7ti. T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re AB \u00fclkelerine yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ihracat\u0131n pay\u0131, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n Ocak-May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 48.4’den bu y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 40 seviyesine d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde di\u011fer \u00fclkelerin pay\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 51,6’dan y\u00fczde 60’a y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n

Avrupa’daki olumsuz havaya ra\u011fmen, yeni pazarlarda yakalad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ivmenin artarak s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. B\u00f6lgesel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z Devletler Toplulu\u011fu \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 24, Afrika \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 26, Ortado\u011fu b\u00f6lgesine y\u00fczde 27, di\u011fer Asya \u00fclkelerine y\u00fczde 29 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi. AB \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131m\u0131z ise y\u00fczde 6 geriledi.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon rakamlar\u0131n\u0131 da d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc geli\u015fme olarak sayabiliriz. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz kas\u0131may\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7ift haneye \u00e7\u0131kan T\u00dcFE nihayet may\u0131s ay\u0131nda tek haneye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. T\u00dc\u0130K verilerine g\u00f6re, beklenenden iyi gelen enflasyon, May\u0131s ay\u0131nda T\u00dcFE’de s\u00fcrpriz bir \u015fekilde y\u00fczde 0.21 gerilerken, \u00dcFE’de y\u00fczde 0.53 artt\u0131. Y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE\u2019de y\u00fczde 8.28’e geriledi, \u00dcFE ise y\u00fczde 8.06 oldu. B\u00f6ylece ge\u00e7en ay y\u00fczde 11,14 olan y\u0131ll\u0131k T\u00dcFE 6 ay sonra yeniden tek haneye d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Tam bir y\u0131l \u00f6nce 2011 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n may\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra ilk kez hem \u00dcFE hem de T\u00dcFE\u2019nin tek haneye d\u00fc\u015fmesi ekonomi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olumlu bir geli\u015fme olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n

Son d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye ile alakal\u0131 iki ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 siyasi geli\u015fmeyi de aktararak yaz\u0131m\u0131 noktalamak istiyorum.
\nBunlardan birincisi, T\u00fcrkiye, \u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc’ne diyalog orta\u011f\u0131 oldu. \u00c7in’in ba\u015fkenti Pekin’de d\u00fczenlenen \u015eanghay \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (\u015e\u0130\u00d6) Zirvesi’nde \u00fcye \u00fclkeler, T\u00fcrkiye’nin diyalog orta\u011f\u0131 stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc oy birli\u011fi ile kabul etti. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kat\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir toplant\u0131da, T\u00fcrkiye ile alakal\u0131 b\u00f6yle bir ortakl\u0131k stat\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn kabul edilmesi bir siyasi ba\u015far\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130kincisi ise, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u015eaul Mofaz\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ile ilgili a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131d\u0131r. \u0130srail ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 \u015funu diyor: \u201cT\u00fcrkiye art\u0131k bir b\u00f6lgesel s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 haline gelmi\u015ftir. Ben T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi b\u00f6lgemizde bir s\u00fcper g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum, bunda hi\u00e7bir \u015f\u00fcphem yok. Ba\u015fta \u0130srail olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer devletler de bunu anlamak ve kabul etmek zorundad\u0131r.\u201d Bu s\u00f6zleri \u0130srail ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6ylemesi, daha da bir anlam ifade ediyor\u2026
\nEvet, t\u00fcm bu geli\u015fmeler \u00fclkemiz ad\u0131na gelece\u011fe umutla bakmam\u0131za vesile oluyor. TES\u0130AD (T\u00fcm Etkin Sanayici ve \u0130\u015fadamlar\u0131 Federasyonu) olarak y\u0131llard\u0131r dile getirdi\u011fimiz \u015fu c\u00fcmleyi sizlere aktararak yaz\u0131m\u0131 bitirmek istiyorum: \u201c21. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu d\u00fcnyada ben de var\u0131m diyece\u011fi \u00e7eyrek olacakt\u0131r. 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011fi ise, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin bu d\u00fcnyada sadece ben var\u0131m diyece\u011fi bir \u00e7eyrek olacakt\u0131r.\u201d Dayan d\u00fcnya, T\u00fcrkiye geliyor\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Halil \u0130. Y\u0131lmaz Son g\u00fcnlerde T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi ile ilgili \u00f6nemli geli\u015fmeler ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fmeleri iyi okuyup ufka bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, T\u00fcrkiye ad\u0131na gelece\u011fe ili\u015fkin \u00e7ok daha umutlu \u015feyler s\u00f6yleyebiliyoruz. \u0130lk geli\u015fmeden ba\u015flayal\u0131m. Avrupa’daki bor\u00e7 krizi art\u0131k b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyay\u0131 tehdit eder hale geldi. IMF\u2019nin kap\u0131s\u0131na yard\u0131m i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde yeni \u00fclkelerin dayanmas\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu sebeple, krizdeki …<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":654,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=650"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":655,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/650\/revisions\/655"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=650"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=650"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tesam.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=650"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}